by Cleve Steamer on Mon Jan 06, 2003 3:23 pm
There's a <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://pub97.ezboard.com/fspursdominionfrm1.showMessage?topicID=451.topic">big ol' thread at the Spurs Dominion</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> which may prove informative. Here's my latest post from said thread:<!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>Here are my <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>revised</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> rough salary estimates for next summer--note that I assume the team does not exercise the option on Ferry, and I assume that everyone else would be renounced if necessary:<br>
<br>
Duncan $13,279,500 (assuming he doesn't opt out)<br>
Rose $4,725,000<br>
Bowen $3,733,333<br>
Ginobili $1,500,000<br>
Parker $856,200<br>
<br>
SUBTOTAL $24,094,033<br>
<br>
late-first round pick = approx. $800,000<br>
cap hit for having under 11 players = (11-6) * 366,931 = $1,834,655<br>
<br>
<!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>TOTAL $26,728,688</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br>
<br>
Primary sources: <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.hoopshype.com/salaries/san_antonio.htm">HoopsHype</a><!--EZCODE LINK END-->, <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.dfw.net/~patricia/misc/salaries02.txt">Patricia Bender</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--><br>
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Trading the first-rounder for a future pick or a second-rounder, or picking a foreign player who is under contract overseas, could clear another $433,000 or so off the total. Let's assume the Spurs do that.<br>
<br>
<!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>TOTAL (5 players + min cap hit for 6 players) $26,295,619</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br>
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That's not consistent with Buford's $28M statement, so I don't know if Buford misspoke/misled or if I'm missing some data.<br>
<br>
But let's assume my figure of $26.3M is in the ballpark. If the cap goes up to (say) $42.3M, then the Spurs would have approximately $16M in cap space. That's indeed enough for a max player and a solid MCE-level ($4.5M) role player, which is the Spurs' stated goal for next summer. Even if the cap stays around $40M, the Spurs could get a young max player like Elton Brand ($10M) and a decent role player for $3.5M.<br>
<br>
It's looking more and more like the major free-agents--Kidd, Jermaine O'Neal, Brad Miller--will stay with their respective teams. Already, the Pacers have locked up about half of their FAs with extensions. I think Kidd will at least give the Spurs a chance to make their pitch, but it's probably 70% he stays in NJ.<br>
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Nevertheless, <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://www.hoopshype.com/salaries/la_clippers.htm">many a Clipper</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--> will be ripe for the picking due to the team's cheap and unfriendly management/ownership. Even if the Clippers let every single one of their FAs walk, they could still field a profitable team with Dooling, Jaric, Q Richardson, Wilcox, Ely, and Wang. I think the Clippers will keep <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>some</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> of their FAs--but who? Brand should be their priority, and Miller should be next. However, the Clippers might not match a max offer because Jaric (at PG) and Wilcox (at PF) can step in and start for much less money. I suspect that Olowokandi will follow the money (an undeserved $10M max deal) to someplace like Miami or Denver. Ultimately, the Spurs may well be able to sign some combination of Elton Brand, Lamar Odom, and Corey Maggette.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END-->According to <!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://members.cox.net/lmcoon/salarycap.htm#9">Larry Coon's CBA FAQ</a><!--EZCODE LINK END-->, Kidd's max deal would start at $11,000,000 or 30% of team's salary cap, whichever is greater. Elton Brand's max deal would start at $9,000,000 or 25% of team's salary cap, whichever is greater.<br>
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Related Spurs Dominion threads:<br>
<br>
<!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://pub97.ezboard.com/fspursdominionfrm1.showMessage?topicID=538.topic">The luxury tax</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--><br>
<!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://pub97.ezboard.com/fspursdominionfrm1.showMessage?topicID=767.topic">Can the Pacers keep their free agents?</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--><br>
<!--EZCODE LINK START--><a href="http://pub97.ezboard.com/fspursdominionfrm1.showMessage?topicID=421.topic">Index of free agent topics</a><!--EZCODE LINK END--><br>
<p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://pub61.ezboard.com/bsanantoniospurs62937.showUserPublicProfile?gid=clevesteamer>Cleve Steamer</A> at: 1/6/03 1:29:23 pm<br></i>